Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Y Tiro
San Martin Tucuman
W
L
D
W
D
D
Gimnasia Y Tiro
D
W
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Y Tiro | San Martin Tucuman | 1 - 0 | May 17, 2026 |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro | San Martin Tucuman | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2025 |
| San Martin Tucuman | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 1 - 0 | March 23, 2025 |
San Martin Tucuman Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Agropecuario | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Tristan Suarez | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Club Atlético Güemes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Chacarita Juniors | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Deportivo Madryn | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | San Martin S.J. | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Gimnasia Y Tiro Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Tristan Suarez | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Club Atlético Güemes | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Chacarita Juniors | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | San Martin S.J. | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Central Norte | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Nueva Chicago | 2 - 0 | Win |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 26 | +5 | 45 |
| 16 | San Martin Tucuman | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 30 | 26 | +4 | 39 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.San Martin Tucuman to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that San Martin Tucuman has a 37.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.88 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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