San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Merlo Saturday 01st August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

San Martín Burzaco Deportivo Merlo

San Martín Burzaco W D D D D L

Deportivo Merlo W D L L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Deportivo Merlo	San Martín Burzaco	0 - 4	March 21, 2026
San Martín Burzaco	Deportivo Merlo	1 - 3	November 16, 2025
Deportivo Merlo	San Martín Burzaco	1 - 0	June 22, 2025
Deportivo Merlo	San Martín Burzaco	1 - 0	September 1, 2024
San Martín Burzaco	Deportivo Merlo	1 - 2	April 14, 2024
Deportivo Merlo	San Martín Burzaco	0 - 0	November 9, 2019

San Martín Burzaco Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Away	Ituzaingó	1 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Villa San Carlos	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Home	Liniers	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Away	Real Pilar	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	UAI Urquiza	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Home	Villa Dalmine	0 - 2	Loss

Deportivo Merlo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Real Pilar	3 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	UAI Urquiza	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Villa Dalmine	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Excursionistas	5 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Arsenal Sarandi	4 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Argentino de Merlo	2 - 2	Draw

Primera B Metropolitana Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	San Martín Burzaco	24	7	11	6	23	20	+3	32
13	Deportivo Merlo	24	8	8	8	27	35	-8	32

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

San Martín Burzaco to win

This prediction indicates that San Martín Burzaco has a 44.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.47 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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