Serie C
Match Analysis
Santa Cruz
Caxias
Santa Cruz
D
L
W
W
W
L
Caxias
L
D
W
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Santa Cruz Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Botafogo PB | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Figueirense | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Barra | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Ituano | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Paysandu | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Ypiranga-RS | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Caxias Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Botafogo PB | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Floresta | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Ferroviária | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | Anápolis | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Maringá | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Guarani Campinas | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Serie C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Santa Cruz | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 24 |
| 9 | Caxias | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 21 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.35% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Santa Cruz to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Santa Cruz has a 40.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.64 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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