Sassuolo vs Padova Wednesday 22nd July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Sassuolo Padova

Sassuolo L L L W D W

Padova W W L W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sassuolo	Padova	1 - 0	July 31, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Parma	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Lecce	2 - 3	Loss
May 8, 26	Away	Torino	2 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	AC Milan	2 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Fiorentina	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 17, 26	Home	como	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 8, 26	Away	Cesena	3 - 4	Win
May 1, 26	Home	Pescara	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Virtus Entella	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Reggiana	1 - 0	Win
Apr 12, 26	Home	Empoli	1 - 0	Win
Apr 5, 26	Away	Frosinone	2 - 0	Loss

This prediction indicates that Sassuolo has a 62.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.51 %

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