Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town Saturday 12th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

National League - North

Scarborough Athletic

Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Merthyr Town

Match Analysis

Scarborough Athletic Merthyr Town

Scarborough Athletic L W W L L W

Merthyr Town D D L W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Scarborough Athletic	Merthyr Town	2 - 1	April 18, 2026
Merthyr Town	Scarborough Athletic	1 - 3	August 25, 2025

Scarborough Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Away	Chorley	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 18, 26	Home	Spennymoor Town	3 - 0	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Hednesford Town	3 - 4	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	South Shields	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Harrogate Town	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Home	Hull City U21	1 - 0	Win

Merthyr Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Away	South Shields	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 18, 26	Home	AFC Telford United	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Away	Spennymoor Town	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	Hednesford Town	2 - 0	Win
Aug 1, 26	Away	Worcester City	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 28, 26	Home	Swansea	3 - 0	Win

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Scarborough Athletic	4	2	0	2	8	6	+2	6
12	Merthyr Town	4	1	2	1	6	5	+1	5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.66% likelihood that both Scarborough Athletic and Merthyr Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Scarborough Athletic to win

This prediction indicates that Scarborough Athletic has a 53.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.30 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League - North

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Scarborough Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Merthyr Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League - North Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Scarborough Athletic to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

National League - North

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