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Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Scunthorpe Harrogate Town
Scunthorpe L D D W L D
Harrogate Town W W W D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Scunthorpe Harrogate Town 0 - 3 March 26, 2022
Harrogate Town Scunthorpe 6 - 1 October 9, 2021
Scunthorpe Harrogate Town 3 - 1 February 20, 2021
Harrogate Town Scunthorpe 2 - 5 December 1, 2020

Scunthorpe Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Southend 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Yeovil Town 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Home Chesterfield 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Away North Ferriby 3 - 6 Win
Jul 21, 26 Away Buxton 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Spalding United 2 - 2 Draw

Harrogate Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Wealdstone 1 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Solihull Moors 5 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Scarborough Athletic 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Doncaster 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 21, 26 Away South Shields 1 - 2 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Cleethorpes Town 0 - 1 Win

National League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Harrogate Town 1 1 0 0 5 2 +3 3
14 Scunthorpe 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1

Predictions

Scunthorpe to win
This prediction indicates that Scunthorpe has a 48.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.48 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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