Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City Monday 22nd June 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Shamrock Rovers Derry City

Shamrock Rovers W L W W L L

Derry City L W L D D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Derry City	Shamrock Rovers	1 - 0	April 24, 2026
Shamrock Rovers	Derry City	1 - 0	March 6, 2026
Derry City	Shamrock Rovers	2 - 1	October 26, 2025
Shamrock Rovers	Derry City	2 - 0	August 3, 2025
Derry City	Shamrock Rovers	1 - 2	May 23, 2025
Shamrock Rovers	Derry City	0 - 0	March 28, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 19, 26	Away	Waterford	0 - 2	Win
Jun 12, 26	Away	Shelbourne	2 - 1	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	St Patrick's Athl.	1 - 0	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Bohemians	1 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Home	Sligo Rovers	1 - 2	Loss
May 15, 26	Away	Dundalk	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 19, 26	Away	Galway United	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	Bohemians	4 - 1	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Dundalk	2 - 1	Loss
May 25, 26	Home	Shelbourne	0 - 0	Draw
May 22, 26	Home	St Patrick's Athl.	0 - 0	Draw
May 15, 26	Away	Waterford	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	22	13	4	5	34	19	+15	43
6	Derry City	22	5	10	7	27	26	+1	25

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Shamrock Rovers has a 42.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.31 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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