Allsvenskan
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The match features Sirius, who hold a clear quality advantage over IF Elfsborg and have been in stronger recent form. Sirius also have the benefit of extra rest time and a history of dominating this fixture. The model predicts a home win with a 48% probability, which is close to but slightly lower than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of both teams scoring and for the match to exceed both 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning with the market’s inclination towards higher-scoring outcomes.
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg | Sirius | 1 - 3 | Allsvenskan | July 19, 2026 |
| Sirius | IF Elfsborg | 4 - 0 | Allsvenskan | October 26, 2025 |
| IF Elfsborg | Sirius | 4 - 3 | Allsvenskan | April 23, 2025 |
| Sirius | IF Elfsborg | 4 - 1 | Allsvenskan | October 6, 2024 |
| IF Elfsborg | Sirius | 2 - 0 | Allsvenskan | April 29, 2024 |
| IF Elfsborg | Sirius | 1 - 0 | Allsvenskan | August 6, 2023 |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 26 | Away | Gais | Allsvenskan | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Oct 2, 26 | Away | Brondby | Friendlies Clubs | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Orgryte IS | Allsvenskan | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 14, 26 | Home | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 26 | Home | Halmstad | Allsvenskan | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Oct 2, 26 | Home | BK Hacken | Friendlies Clubs | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 28 | +25 | 54 |
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 22 | +13 | 40 |
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | +25 | 54 |
| 2 | Djurgardens IF | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | +29 | 47 |
| 3 | Hammarby FF | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | +28 | 43 |
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +13 | 40 |
| 5 | BK Hacken | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 | IFK Goteborg | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | -9 | 36 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK FK | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | AIK Stockholm | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gais | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | +7 | 30 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 30 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Degerfors IF | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 20 |
| 14 | Kalmar FF | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -16 | 19 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | -27 | 15 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | -28 | 14 |
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