Sirius vs IF Elfsborg Sunday 18th October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Missing players 4 (reported 18 Oct)
Sirius
IF Elfsborg

Reports usually appear close to kick-off and may be incomplete: a player not listed is not confirmed fit.

Match Analysis

Sirius IF Elfsborg
Sirius W D W W W L
IF Elfsborg W L W W L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features Sirius, who hold a clear quality advantage over IF Elfsborg and have been in stronger recent form. Sirius also have the benefit of extra rest time and a history of dominating this fixture. The model predicts a home win with a 48% probability, which is close to but slightly lower than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of both teams scoring and for the match to exceed both 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning with the market’s inclination towards higher-scoring outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Competition Date
IF Elfsborg Sirius 1 - 3 Allsvenskan July 19, 2026
Sirius IF Elfsborg 4 - 0 Allsvenskan October 26, 2025
IF Elfsborg Sirius 4 - 3 Allsvenskan April 23, 2025
Sirius IF Elfsborg 4 - 1 Allsvenskan October 6, 2024
IF Elfsborg Sirius 2 - 0 Allsvenskan April 29, 2024
IF Elfsborg Sirius 1 - 0 Allsvenskan August 6, 2023

Sirius Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Away Gais Allsvenskan 0 - 1 Win
Oct 2, 26 Away Brondby Friendlies Clubs 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 19, 26 Away Orgryte IS Allsvenskan 1 - 2 Win
Sep 14, 26 Home Degerfors IF Allsvenskan 2 - 0 Win
Sep 5, 26 Away Vasteras SK FK Allsvenskan 0 - 1 Win
Aug 31, 26 Home Malmo FF Allsvenskan 0 - 1 Loss

IF Elfsborg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 12, 26 Home Halmstad Allsvenskan 4 - 0 Win
Oct 2, 26 Home BK Hacken Friendlies Clubs 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 20, 26 Away Djurgardens IF Allsvenskan 1 - 2 Win
Sep 13, 26 Home Kalmar FF Allsvenskan 1 - 0 Win
Sep 6, 26 Away IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home Degerfors IF Allsvenskan 2 - 0 Win

Allsvenskan Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sirius 23 17 3 3 53 28 +25 54
4 IF Elfsborg 23 11 7 5 35 22 +13 40
View full table
Pos Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 23 17 3 3 +25 54
2 Djurgardens IF 24 15 2 7 +29 47
3 Hammarby FF 23 13 4 6 +28 43
4 IF Elfsborg 23 11 7 5 +13 40
5 BK Hacken 23 10 9 4 +12 39
6 Malmo FF 23 11 3 9 +5 36
7 IFK Goteborg 24 10 6 8 -9 36
8 Vasteras SK FK 23 10 5 8 -2 35
9 AIK Stockholm 24 9 7 8 -4 34
10 Gais 23 8 6 9 +7 30
11 IF Brommapojkarna 24 8 6 10 -7 30
12 Mjallby AIF 23 5 8 10 -11 23
13 Degerfors IF 23 5 5 13 -15 20
14 Kalmar FF 23 5 4 14 -16 19
15 Orgryte IS 23 3 6 14 -27 15
16 Halmstad 23 3 5 15 -28 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.26% likelihood that both Sirius and IF Elfsborg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Sirius to win
This prediction indicates that Sirius has a 47.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.79 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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