Sisaket United vs Chonburi FC Sunday 11th October 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Thai League 1

View league ›

Sisaket United View team ›

Oct. 11, 2026 1 week ago

2 – 1

Full Time

Chonburi FC View team ›

Match Analysis

Sisaket United Chonburi FC

Sisaket United W L L

Chonburi FC L L L W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Chonburi FC with a 40% probability. The model sees Chonburi as having a modest quality edge, but notes that both teams are in poor recent form and have similar rest ahead of the match. Additionally, Sisaket United's recent defensive struggles suggest they may have trouble preventing goals. The market odds imply a slightly stronger favor for Chonburi than the model does, as the odds are closer to an even chance for the home side.

Sisaket United Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Chiangrai United	Thai League 1	0 - 1	Win
Sep 12, 26	Home	Ayutthaya FC	Thai League 1	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Bangkok United	Thai League 1	3 - 1	Loss

Chonburi FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Home	Buriram United	Thai League 1	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Home	Rayong FC	Thai League 1	2 - 3	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Chiangrai United	Thai League 1	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	Thai League 1	2 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Kanchanaburi	Thai League 1	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Muangthong United	Thai League 1	0 - 0	Draw

Thai League 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Sisaket United	3	1	0	2	2	4	-2	3
16	Chonburi FC	3	0	0	3	2	5	-3	0

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Prachuap	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Uthai Thani	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Buriram United	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Bangkok United	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Port FC	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Rayong FC	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Ratchaburi	4	2	1	1	+6	7
8	Ayutthaya FC	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Sisaket United	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Sukhothai FC	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Bangkok Glass	4	1	2	1	0	5
12	Chiangrai United	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Pattani	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Lamphun Warrior	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Rasi Salai United	5	0	1	4	-8	1
16	Chonburi FC	5	0	0	5	-5	0

Predictions

Chonburi FC to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Chonburi FC has a 39.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.37 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Odds Comparison

Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply