Spalding United vs Alvechurch Saturday 17th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

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Spalding United View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 9 hours ago

2 – 2

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Alvechurch View team ›

Match Analysis

Spalding United Alvechurch

Spalding United L W D L W W

Alvechurch D L W D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Spalding United has been the stronger side in matchups against Alvechurch, often keeping games tight with few goals. The model predicts Spalding United has a 53% chance to win, aligning closely with the market odds which also favor the home team. The prediction also suggests a 53% chance that both teams will score and a 58% chance of more than one goal in the game, slightly more optimistic than the market odds on these outcomes. Factors such as Spalding United's clear quality gap, recent attacking form, and rest advantage support the prediction.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Spalding United	Alvechurch	3 - 0	Non League Premier - Southern Central	February 14, 2026
Alvechurch	Spalding United	0 - 2	Non League Premier - Southern Central	November 1, 2025
Spalding United	Alvechurch	0 - 0	Non League Premier - Southern Central	April 12, 2025
Alvechurch	Spalding United	0 - 1	Non League Premier - Southern Central	December 14, 2024

Spalding United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	Marine	National League - North	1 - 0	Loss
Oct 6, 26	Home	Bury Town	FA Cup	4 - 0	Win
Oct 3, 26	Away	Bury Town	FA Cup	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Away	Chorley	National League - North	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Hanley Town	FA Cup	2 - 0	Win
Sep 12, 26	Home	Bedford Town	National League - North	2 - 1	Win

Alvechurch Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 13, 26	Away	Halesowen Town	Non League Premier - Southern Central	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 10, 26	Home	Bury Town	Non League Premier - Southern Central	0 - 1	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Away	Cambridge City	FA Cup	1 - 2	Win
Sep 29, 26	Home	Stourbridge	Non League Premier - Southern Central	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 22, 26	Away	Anstey Nomads	Non League Premier - Southern Central	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 19, 26	Home	Racing Club Warwick	FA Cup	3 - 1	Win

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.45% likelihood that both Spalding United and Alvechurch will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Spalding United to win

This prediction indicates that Spalding United has a 53.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.91 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

Spalding United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Alvechurch Form (Last 6 Matches)

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Spalding United to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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