National League - North logo

National League - North
Spalding United logo Spalding United
Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Bedford Town logo Bedford Town

Match Analysis

Spalding United Bedford Town
Spalding United L D L W D L
Bedford Town L W L L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Spalding United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Chester 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 18, 26 Home Macclesfield 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Oxford City 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Radcliffe 0 - 2 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Scunthorpe 2 - 2 Draw
Oct 11, 25 Away South Shields 4 - 0 Loss

Bedford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Southport 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 18, 26 Home Buxton 2 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Darlington 1883 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Oxford City 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Kettering Town 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Walton & Hersham 2 - 0 Win

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Spalding United 4 1 1 2 2 2 0 4
20 Bedford Town 4 1 0 3 5 9 -4 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.18% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Spalding United to win
This prediction indicates that Spalding United has a 52.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.52 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

National League - North

Scarborough Athletic vs Southport 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Hereford vs Chester 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Merthyr Town vs Chorley 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Brackley Town vs South Shields 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Spalding United vs Worksop Town 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Hebburn Town vs King's Lynn Town 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Marine vs Radcliffe 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Darlington 1883 vs Macclesfield 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Bedford Town vs Spennymoor Town 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›