Premier League
Match Analysis
Spartak Moscow
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moscow
L
W
W
W
D
L
FC Orenburg
D
D
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | FC Orenburg | 5 - 1 | August 5, 2026 |
| Spartak Moscow | FC Orenburg | 1 - 0 | October 25, 2025 |
| Spartak Moscow | FC Orenburg | 2 - 0 | March 2, 2025 |
| FC Orenburg | Spartak Moscow | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2024 |
| FC Orenburg | Spartak Moscow | 0 - 0 | May 25, 2024 |
| Spartak Moscow | FC Orenburg | 3 - 1 | March 14, 2024 |
Spartak Moscow Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | FC Krasnodar | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | FC Orenburg | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Akhmat | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Rodina Moskva | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Zenit | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Lokomotiv | 2 - 0 | Loss |
FC Orenburg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Rubin | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Spartak Moscow | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Zenit | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | FC Rostov | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | CSKA Moscow | 2 - 0 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Spartak Moscow to win
This prediction indicates that Spartak Moscow has a 73.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.61 %Most Likely Scorelines
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