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Spartak Varna logo Spartak Varna
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Lokomotiv Sofia logo Lokomotiv Sofia

Match Analysis

Spartak Varna Lokomotiv Sofia
Spartak Varna D L L L W W
Lokomotiv Sofia D L L D L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Spartak Varna Lokomotiv Sofia 3 - 0 May 22, 2026
Spartak Varna Lokomotiv Sofia 2 - 2 February 13, 2026
Lokomotiv Sofia Spartak Varna 0 - 0 August 22, 2025
Lokomotiv Sofia Spartak Varna 2 - 1 March 28, 2025
Spartak Varna Lokomotiv Sofia 3 - 2 October 6, 2024
Spartak Varna Lokomotiv Sofia 1 - 2 March 11, 2023

Spartak Varna Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Ludogorets 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Levski Sofia 6 - 0 Loss
Aug 17, 26 Home Septemvri Sofia 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 10, 26 Away Botev Plovdiv 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Home Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Cherno More Varna 0 - 3 Win

Lokomotiv Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 31, 26 Away Dunav Ruse 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 17, 26 Away Arda Kardzhali 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home CSKA 1948 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Away Slavia Sofia 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Levski Sofia 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Away Botev Plovdiv 1 - 1 Draw

First League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Spartak Varna 7 2 2 3 9 13 -4 8
13 Lokomotiv Sofia 6 0 3 3 7 12 -5 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.34% likelihood that both Spartak Varna and Lokomotiv Sofia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Spartak Varna or Lokomotiv Sofia to win
This prediction indicates that Spartak Varna has a 40.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.14 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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First League

Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia 13 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 15 hours from now · 9:15 p.m. ›