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Spartak Varna logo Spartak Varna
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Ludogorets logo Ludogorets

Match Analysis

Spartak Varna Ludogorets
Spartak Varna L W W D W D
Ludogorets W W D W L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Spartak Varna Ludogorets 1 - 5 March 19, 2026
Ludogorets Spartak Varna 1 - 1 October 18, 2025
Ludogorets Spartak Varna 2 - 1 April 19, 2025
Spartak Varna Ludogorets 1 - 3 November 10, 2024
Spartak Varna Ludogorets 1 - 2 February 11, 2023
Ludogorets Spartak Varna 5 - 0 July 29, 2022

Spartak Varna Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 10, 26 Away Botev Plovdiv 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Home Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Cherno More Varna 0 - 3 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home CSKA 1948 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Home Dobrudzha 7 - 3 Win
Jul 8, 26 Home Nesebar 1 - 1 Draw

Ludogorets Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Cherno More Varna 2 - 3 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home Botev Vratsa 2 - 1 Win
Jul 30, 26 Home Hapoel Tel Aviv 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 27, 26 Away Dunav Ruse 0 - 2 Win
Jul 23, 26 Away Hapoel Tel Aviv 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 0 Win

First League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Ludogorets 4 4 0 0 8 3 +5 12
5 Spartak Varna 4 2 1 1 8 5 +3 7

Predictions

Ludogorets to win
This prediction indicates that Ludogorets has a 57.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.65 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia 14 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv 16 hours from now · 9:15 p.m. ›