Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen vs VfR Aalen Wednesday 15th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen VfR Aalen

Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen L L L L L L

VfR Aalen W L W D W W

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen	VfR Aalen	0 - 1	July 19, 2022
Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen	VfR Aalen	1 - 2	July 14, 2021

Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 23	Away	Göppinger SV	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 21, 22	Home	FC Heidenheim	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 19, 22	Home	VfR Aalen	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 2, 22	Home	Stuttgart II	0 - 2	Loss
Jan 21, 22	Home	SSV Ulm 1846	2 - 5	Loss
Jul 14, 21	Home	VfR Aalen	1 - 2	Loss

VfR Aalen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 28, 26	Home	Illertissen	2 - 1	Win
Jan 24, 26	Home	SGV Freiberg	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 16, 25	Away	Illertissen	1 - 2	Win
Jul 12, 25	Away	Ansbach	1 - 1	Draw
Jan 25, 25	Away	Greuther Fürth II	1 - 3	Win
Jan 18, 25	Away	Göppinger SV	1 - 3	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.98% likelihood that both Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen and VfR Aalen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

VfR Aalen to win

This prediction indicates that VfR Aalen has a 51.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.53 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 78.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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