Victoria NPL logo

Victoria NPL
St. Albans Saints logo St. Albans Saints
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Dandenong Thunder logo Dandenong Thunder

Match Analysis

St. Albans Saints Dandenong Thunder
St. Albans Saints D L W D D D
Dandenong Thunder L L L W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dandenong Thunder St. Albans Saints 2 - 2 May 16, 2026
St. Albans Saints Dandenong Thunder 1 - 5 August 17, 2025
Dandenong Thunder St. Albans Saints 2 - 2 May 3, 2025
St. Albans Saints Dandenong Thunder 1 - 0 July 28, 2024
Dandenong Thunder St. Albans Saints 3 - 0 April 27, 2024
St. Albans Saints Dandenong Thunder 0 - 4 May 27, 2023

St. Albans Saints Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Home Bentleigh Greens 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Away South Melbourne 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Home Hume City 3 - 2 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Avondale 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 12, 26 Home Sunshine Georgies 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 3, 26 Away Heidelberg United 1 - 1 Draw

Dandenong Thunder Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Dandenong City 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Altona Magic 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Green Gully 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Bentleigh Greens 2 - 1 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away South Melbourne 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Hume City 1 - 3 Loss

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 St. Albans Saints 23 7 6 10 27 41 -14 27
14 Dandenong Thunder 23 4 3 16 23 51 -28 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.71% likelihood that both St. Albans Saints and Dandenong Thunder will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
St. Albans Saints to win
This prediction indicates that St. Albans Saints has a 44.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.16 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Victoria NPL

Heidelberg United vs Hume City 3 hours from now · 8 a.m. › Melbourne City II vs South Melbourne 3 hours from now · 8 a.m. › Sunshine Georgies vs Avondale 6 hours from now · 11 a.m. ›