Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
St. Louis City
Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City
D
W
W
W
W
D
Houston Dynamo
W
W
W
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City | Houston Dynamo | 2 - 3 | August 31, 2025 |
| Houston Dynamo | St. Louis City | 1 - 0 | June 29, 2025 |
| St. Louis City | Houston Dynamo | 3 - 0 | October 6, 2024 |
| Houston Dynamo | St. Louis City | 0 - 0 | May 5, 2024 |
| Houston Dynamo | St. Louis City | 1 - 1 | September 17, 2023 |
| St. Louis City | Houston Dynamo | 3 - 0 | June 4, 2023 |
St. Louis City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Real Salt Lake | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Sporting Kansas City | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Austin | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | DC United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Houston Dynamo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | New England Revolution | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Sporting Kansas City | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Austin | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | DC United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | America de Cali | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | CD Olimpia | 3 - 0 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | +1 | 29 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
Predictions
St. Louis City or Houston Dynamo to win
This prediction indicates that St. Louis City has a 38.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.59 %Most Likely Scorelines
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