Star Starachowice vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki Saturday 11th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Star Starachowice Lechia T. Mazowiecki

Star Starachowice L L L L W L

Lechia T. Mazowiecki L W D L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lechia T. Mazowiecki	Star Starachowice	1 - 1	February 15, 2025

Star Starachowice Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Czarni Połaniec	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Away	KSZO 1929	6 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Puszcza Niepołomice	3 - 0	Loss
Feb 20, 26	Home	Ząbkovia Ząbki	0 - 3	Loss
Feb 7, 26	Home	Broń Radom	3 - 2	Win
Feb 4, 26	Home	Konskie	1 - 2	Loss

Lechia T. Mazowiecki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Wda Świecie	1 - 4	Loss
Feb 14, 26	Home	SKRA Częstochowa	4 - 0	Win
Feb 15, 25	Home	Star Starachowice	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 1, 25	Away	SKRA Częstochowa	2 - 1	Loss
Jan 18, 25	Home	Wda Świecie	4 - 2	Win
Jul 12, 24	Away	Polonia Warszawa	3 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.51% likelihood that both Star Starachowice and Lechia T. Mazowiecki will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Star Starachowice or Lechia T. Mazowiecki to win

This prediction indicates that Star Starachowice has a 39.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.06 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 85.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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