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Úrvalsdeild

June 16, 2026 1 week, 6 days ago
4 – 4
Full Time

Match Analysis

Stjarnan Breidablik
Stjarnan W L L D L W
Breidablik L W L D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Stjarnan Breidablik 2 - 3 October 26, 2025
Stjarnan Breidablik 1 - 4 June 27, 2025
Breidablik Stjarnan 2 - 1 April 23, 2025
Breidablik Stjarnan 2 - 1 October 19, 2024
Stjarnan Breidablik 2 - 2 August 11, 2024
Breidablik Stjarnan 2 - 1 May 21, 2024

Stjarnan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Thor Akureyri 1 - 3 Win
May 26, 26 Home Vikingur Reykjavik 1 - 3 Loss
May 22, 26 Home Fram Reykjavik 0 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Keflavik 1 - 1 Draw
May 8, 26 Home KR Reykjavik 2 - 3 Loss
May 3, 26 Away IA Akranes 1 - 2 Win

Breidablik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Away Fram Reykjavik 4 - 3 Loss
May 22, 26 Home KR Reykjavik 6 - 3 Win
May 17, 26 Away Valur Reykjavik 3 - 2 Loss
May 8, 26 Home FH hafnarfjordur 3 - 3 Draw
May 3, 26 Away IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 - 2 Win
Apr 27, 26 Home Thor Akureyri 4 - 0 Win

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Breidablik 9 4 3 2 22 15 +7 15
5 Stjarnan 10 4 1 5 19 21 -2 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.03% likelihood that both Stjarnan and Breidablik will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Breidablik to win
This prediction indicates that Breidablik has a 44.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.17 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 85.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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