Úrvalsdeild
Match Analysis
Stjarnan
Keflavik
Stjarnan
W
L
D
L
D
W
Keflavik
L
W
L
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keflavik | Stjarnan | 1 - 1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Stjarnan | Keflavik | 3 - 0 | September 3, 2023 |
| Keflavik | Stjarnan | 1 - 1 | June 11, 2023 |
| Stjarnan | Keflavik | 0 - 2 | September 4, 2022 |
| Keflavik | Stjarnan | 2 - 2 | June 16, 2022 |
| Stjarnan | Keflavik | 2 - 3 | July 3, 2021 |
Stjarnan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Ilves | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | KR Reykjavik | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Vikingur Gota | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 9, 26 | Away | Vikingur Gota | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | FH hafnarfjordur | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | KA Akureyri | 3 - 1 | Win |
Keflavik Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Vikingur Reykjavik | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | IA Akranes | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | Breidablik | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | Fram Reykjavik | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | KR Reykjavik | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Valur Reykjavik | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Úrvalsdeild Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Keflavik | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 18 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.82% likelihood that both Stjarnan and Keflavik will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Stjarnan to win
This prediction indicates that Stjarnan has a 55.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.68 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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