A Lyga
Match Analysis
Suduva Marijampole
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole
W
W
W
W
D
W
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
W
L
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suduva Marijampole | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 1 - 1 | May 10, 2026 |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | Suduva Marijampole | 1 - 0 | March 10, 2026 |
| Suduva Marijampole | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 1 - 3 | September 29, 2025 |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | Suduva Marijampole | 1 - 0 | August 7, 2025 |
| Suduva Marijampole | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2 - 2 | June 19, 2025 |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | Suduva Marijampole | 3 - 0 | April 16, 2025 |
Suduva Marijampole Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Panevėžys | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Džiugas Telšiai | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Banga | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Hegelmann Litauen | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | TransINVEST Vilnius | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 29, 26 | Away | Panevėžys | 1 - 2 | Win |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Džiugas Telšiai | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Banga | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | HNK Hajduk Split | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 - 5 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Dinamo Tbilisi | 7 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | Hegelmann Litauen | 2 - 3 | Win |
A Lyga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 17 | +24 | 48 |
| 6 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 29 | +11 | 41 |
Predictions
Suduva Marijampole to win
This prediction indicates that Suduva Marijampole has a 49.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.13 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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