Thai League 1
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Oct. 17, 2026
1 day, 12 hours ago
5 – 1
Full Time
Match Analysis
Sukhothai FC
Rasi Salai United
Sukhothai FC
L
W
L
L
W
L
Rasi Salai United
L
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Sukhothai FC with a 45% probability. Sukhothai FC have moderate recent form compared to Rasi Salai United's poor recent form, which favors the home side, despite the teams being closely matched in overall quality. Additionally, Sukhothai FC have created significantly more shooting chances recently, supporting the prediction of a home victory. The market odds for a home win (1.84) suggest a slightly higher implied chance than the model's 45%, indicating the model is somewhat less confident than what the odds imply.
Sukhothai FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 26 | Away | Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 | 6 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Port FC | Thai League 1 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Prachuap | Thai League 1 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Buriram United | Thai League 1 | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Muangthong United | Thai League 1 | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Thai League 1 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Rasi Salai United Form (Last 4 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 26 | Away | Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Bangkok Glass | Thai League 1 | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Port FC | Thai League 1 | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Thai League 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Sukhothai FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 |
| 15 | Rasi Salai United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 1 |
View full table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prachuap | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | Uthai Thani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Buriram United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bangkok United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Port FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Sukhothai FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Bangkok Glass | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Chiangrai United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Pattani | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lamphun Warrior | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rasi Salai United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.46% likelihood that both Sukhothai FC and Rasi Salai United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Sukhothai FC to win
This prediction indicates that Sukhothai FC has a 45.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.16 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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