Super Nova vs FS Jelgava Thursday 25th June 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Super Nova FS Jelgava

Super Nova L D L L L W

FS Jelgava W L D D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FS Jelgava	Super Nova	1 - 0	May 6, 2026
Super Nova	FS Jelgava	1 - 1	March 15, 2026
Super Nova	FS Jelgava	1 - 1	October 4, 2025
FS Jelgava	Super Nova	1 - 0	July 20, 2025
Super Nova	FS Jelgava	0 - 0	May 21, 2025
FS Jelgava	Super Nova	2 - 1	April 5, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Auda	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	FK Liepaja	2 - 1	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	Rīgas FS	1 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Riga	3 - 0	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Grobiņa	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Tukums	4 - 1	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	Ogre United	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Auda	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 1	Draw
May 26, 26	Home	FK Liepaja	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Away	Rīgas FS	4 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Super Nova	19	6	3	10	19	27	-8	21
7	FS Jelgava	19	4	7	8	17	34	-17	19

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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