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Virsliga

June 25, 2026 4 days, 2 hours ago
1 – 5
Full Time

Match Analysis

Super Nova FS Jelgava
Super Nova L D L L L W
FS Jelgava W L D D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FS Jelgava Super Nova 1 - 0 May 6, 2026
Super Nova FS Jelgava 1 - 1 March 15, 2026
Super Nova FS Jelgava 1 - 1 October 4, 2025
FS Jelgava Super Nova 1 - 0 July 20, 2025
Super Nova FS Jelgava 0 - 0 May 21, 2025
FS Jelgava Super Nova 2 - 1 April 5, 2025

Super Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home Auda 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 16, 26 Away BFC Daugavpils 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Away FK Liepaja 2 - 1 Loss
May 29, 26 Home Rīgas FS 1 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Riga 3 - 0 Loss
May 20, 26 Away Grobiņa 0 - 2 Win

FS Jelgava Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home Tukums 4 - 1 Win
Jun 17, 26 Home Ogre United 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Auda 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home BFC Daugavpils 1 - 1 Draw
May 26, 26 Home FK Liepaja 1 - 1 Draw
May 21, 26 Away Rīgas FS 4 - 0 Loss

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Super Nova 19 6 3 10 19 27 -8 21
7 FS Jelgava 19 4 7 8 17 34 -17 19

Predictions

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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