Swansea vs Holstein Kiel Saturday 18th July 2026 05:30 PM football predictions.

Swansea Holstein Kiel

Swansea W D W L W D

Holstein Kiel L L L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Charlton	3 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Norwich	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 21, 26	Away	QPR	1 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Southampton	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Away	Leicester	0 - 1	Win
Apr 6, 26	Home	Middlesbrough	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	FC Fredericia	1 - 3	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Dynamo Dresden	2 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	1. FC Magdeburg	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Eintracht Braunschweig	2 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Hertha BSC	0 - 1	Win
Apr 17, 26	Home	FC Kaiserslautern	3 - 0	Win

This prediction indicates that Swansea has a 44.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.83 %

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