USL Championship
Match Analysis
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion
Tampa Bay Rowdies
D
L
W
W
W
W
Birmingham Legion
L
L
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0 - 1 | March 8, 2026 |
| Birmingham Legion | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1 - 4 | September 17, 2025 |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Birmingham Legion | 2 - 2 | May 3, 2025 |
| Birmingham Legion | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 2 - 0 | September 12, 2024 |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Birmingham Legion | 0 - 1 | May 11, 2024 |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Birmingham Legion | 0 - 3 | October 21, 2023 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Detroit City | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Rhode Island | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Orange County SC | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Louisville City | 5 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 2 - 3 | Win |
Birmingham Legion Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Hartford Athletic | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Sporting JAX | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Colorado Springs | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Rhode Island | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Louisville City | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 38 | 20 | +18 | 45 |
| 22 | Birmingham Legion | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Tampa Bay Rowdies to win
This prediction indicates that Tampa Bay Rowdies has a 66.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.33 %Most Likely Scorelines
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