Tamworth vs Stoke City U21 Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Tamworth Stoke City U21

Tamworth W W D L D W

Stoke City U21 L L L W D L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tamworth	Stoke City U21	3 - 2	July 22, 2025

Tamworth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Lichfield City	2 - 4	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Braintree	5 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Eastleigh	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	York	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	FC Halifax Town	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Home	Solihull Moors	1 - 0	Win

Stoke City U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 25	Away	Tamworth	3 - 2	Loss
Aug 3, 24	Away	Kidderminster Harriers	2 - 0	Loss
Dec 4, 18	Away	Port Vale	4 - 0	Loss
Oct 9, 18	Away	Morecambe	1 - 2	Win
Sep 4, 18	Away	Sunderland	0 - 0	Draw
Nov 8, 17	Away	Bury	3 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.6% likelihood that both Tamworth and Stoke City U21 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Tamworth to win

This prediction indicates that Tamworth has a 49.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.80 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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