Liga Pro
Match Analysis
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
L
W
L
L
L
L
Mushuc Runa SC
W
L
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Mushuc Runa SC with a 38% probability. Mushuc Runa SC has a modest quality edge and moderate recent form, while Tecnico Universitario is in poor recent form and has defensive struggles. The market odds show similar confidence in the away win, suggesting the model’s view aligns with public betting trends. Recent meetings between the two teams have mostly ended in draws with few goals, supporting the model’s under predictions for both over/under 1.5 and 2.5 goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC | Tecnico Universitario | 1 - 0 | April 18, 2026 |
| Mushuc Runa SC | Tecnico Universitario | 1 - 0 | November 22, 2025 |
| Tecnico Universitario | Mushuc Runa SC | 0 - 0 | November 1, 2025 |
| Mushuc Runa SC | Tecnico Universitario | 0 - 1 | July 27, 2025 |
| Tecnico Universitario | Mushuc Runa SC | 1 - 1 | April 6, 2025 |
| Tecnico Universitario | Mushuc Runa SC | 2 - 2 | September 30, 2024 |
Tecnico Universitario Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Universidad Catolica | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Manta FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Independiente del Valle | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Aucas | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Libertad | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Macara | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Mushuc Runa SC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Manta FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Libertad | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Emelec | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Orense SC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Macara | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Independiente del Valle | 1 - 4 | Loss |
Liga Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mushuc Runa SC | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 26 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Mushuc Runa SC to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Mushuc Runa SC has a 37.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.11 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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