Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Jubilo Iwata Saturday 17th October 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

J2 League

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Tegevajaro Miyazaki View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 14 hours ago

1 – 1

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Jubilo Iwata View team ›

Match Analysis

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Jubilo Iwata

Tegevajaro Miyazaki D L D W W W

Jubilo Iwata W L L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Tegevajaro Miyazaki with a 60% probability. It sees a clear quality gap favoring the home side and notes their strong attacking form recently, while both teams show moderate recent form and have similar rest. The model also predicts over 1.5 goals (52%) and over 2.5 goals (52%), as well as no for both teams to score (50%). Since there are no market odds provided for comparison, the model's view stands on its own assessment of the teams' qualities and form.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Jubilo Iwata	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0 - 0	Emperor Cup	August 26, 2026
Jubilo Iwata	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1 - 2	Emperor Cup	June 12, 2024

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Away	Kataller Toyama	J2 League	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 7, 26	Away	Kawasaki Frontale	Emperor Cup	2 - 0	Loss
Oct 4, 26	Home	Omiya Ardija	J2 League	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Home	Consadole Sapporo	J2 League	3 - 2	Win
Sep 18, 26	Away	Vanraure Hachinohe	J2 League	0 - 3	Win
Sep 12, 26	Home	Fujieda MYFC	J2 League	3 - 2	Win

Jubilo Iwata Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Consadole Sapporo	J2 League	1 - 0	Win
Oct 4, 26	Away	Vegalta Sendai	J2 League	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Home	Vanraure Hachinohe	J2 League	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	Albirex Niigata	J2 League	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Ventforet Kofu	J2 League	0 - 1	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	Kataller Toyama	J2 League	0 - 1	Loss

J2 League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	30	19	6	5	51	27	+24	63
16	Jubilo Iwata	30	9	9	12	31	39	-8	36

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	31	19	9	3	+28	66
2	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	31	19	7	5	+24	64
3	Kataller Toyama	31	16	10	5	+23	58
4	Albirex Niigata	31	15	9	7	0	54
5	Omiya Ardija	31	15	7	9	+20	52
6	Yokohama FC	31	15	6	10	+15	51
7	Tokushima Vortis	31	15	5	11	+16	50
8	Blaublitz Akita	31	14	7	10	+7	49
9	Shonan Bellmare	31	12	11	8	+7	47
10	Sagan Tosu	31	13	8	10	+7	47
11	Fujieda MYFC	31	10	15	6	+7	45
12	Ventforet Kofu	30	13	4	13	-3	43
13	Oita Trinita	31	11	9	11	+8	42
14	Consadole Sapporo	31	12	6	13	-2	42
15	Iwaki	30	11	7	12	-2	40
16	Jubilo Iwata	31	9	10	12	-8	37
17	Montedio Yamagata	31	10	4	17	-4	34
18	Tochigi City	31	9	7	15	-12	34
19	Kagoshima United	20	9	6	5	+10	33
20	FC Gifu	20	9	4	7	-1	31
21	Imabari	31	8	7	16	-13	31
22	Sagamihara	20	8	6	6	+1	30
23	Vanraure Hachinohe	31	7	9	15	-16	30
24	Kochi United	20	8	5	7	+1	29
25	Roasso Kumamoto	20	9	2	9	-2	29
26	Ehime FC	20	8	3	9	+5	27
27	Renofa Yamaguchi	20	7	6	7	+1	27
28	Gainare Tottori	20	7	6	7	-2	27
29	Matsumoto Yamaga	20	6	7	7	+8	25
30	Kanazawa	20	6	7	7	-5	25
31	Nara Club	20	6	5	9	-7	23
32	Thespakusatsu Gunma	20	6	4	10	-14	22
33	Kamatamare Sanuki	20	6	4	10	-16	22
34	Biwako Shiga	20	6	3	11	-15	21
35	Fukushima United	20	5	5	10	-12	20
36	Osaka	20	3	10	7	-3	19
37	Tochigi SC	20	4	7	9	-5	19
38	FC Ryukyu	20	3	8	9	-11	17
39	Kitakyushu	20	4	4	12	-17	16
40	Parceiro Nagano	20	3	7	10	-18	16

Predictions

Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win

This prediction indicates that Tegevajaro Miyazaki has a 59.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.86 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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