National 1
Match Analysis
Thionville Lusitanos
Rouen
Thionville Lusitanos
W
W
W
D
W
W
Rouen
W
W
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Thionville Lusitanos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Caen | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Aubagne | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Nancy | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Progres Niederkorn | 0 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | RM Hamm Benfica | 0 - 4 | Win |
Rouen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Quevilly | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Orleans | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Cannes | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Al Wakrah | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Boulogne | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Laval | 1 - 0 | Loss |
National 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thionville Lusitanos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | Rouen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.13% likelihood that both Thionville Lusitanos and Rouen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Thionville Lusitanos to win
This prediction indicates that Thionville Lusitanos has a 43.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.95 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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