Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles Saturday 17th October 2026 03:45 PM football predictions.

National 1

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Thionville Lusitanos View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 10 hours ago

1 – 2

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Versailles View team ›

Match Analysis

Thionville Lusitanos Versailles

Thionville Lusitanos L L D L D D

Versailles W W D W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Versailles with a 53% probability. Versailles has a modest quality edge and strong recent form, while Thionville Lusitanos are in poor recent form, which supports the prediction. The market odds also suggest that an away win is likely, as they show a clear favoritism for Versailles. The model is slightly more confident in the away win than the market odds imply.

Thionville Lusitanos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	Le Puy Foot	National 1	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Home	La Roche VF	National 1	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	Fleury 91	National 1	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Home	Rouen	National 1	0 - 4	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Concarneau	National 1	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Gobelins	National 1	1 - 1	Draw

Versailles Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Home	Valenciennes	National 1	1 - 0	Win
Sep 26, 26	Away	Villefranche	National 1	1 - 2	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Quevilly	National 1	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	Orleans	National 1	0 - 4	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Cannes	National 1	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Amiens	National 1	3 - 0	Loss

National 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Versailles	9	5	1	3	13	12	+1	16
10	Thionville Lusitanos	9	3	3	3	14	14	0	12

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	10	6	3	1	+6	21
2	Rouen	10	6	2	2	+10	20
3	Versailles	10	6	1	3	+2	19
4	Caen	10	6	0	4	+6	18
5	Fleury 91	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Concarneau	10	4	5	1	+4	17
7	Amiens	10	4	4	2	+9	16
8	Le Puy Foot	10	5	1	4	+3	16
9	Cannes	10	3	6	1	+6	15
10	Gobelins	10	4	3	3	0	15
11	Quevilly	10	3	4	3	-3	13
12	Thionville Lusitanos	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	SC Bastia	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Valenciennes	10	2	3	5	-5	9
15	Orleans	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Villefranche	10	2	1	7	-14	7
17	Bourg-en-bresse 01	10	1	2	7	-11	5
18	Aubagne	10	1	1	8	-9	4

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.65% likelihood that both Thionville Lusitanos and Versailles will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Versailles to win

This prediction indicates that Versailles has a 53.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.92 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Thionville Lusitanos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Versailles Form (Last 6 Matches)

National 1 Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Versailles to win

Over 2.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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