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J3 League
Tochigi SC logo Tochigi SC
Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Kitakyushu logo Kitakyushu

Match Analysis

Tochigi SC Kitakyushu
Tochigi SC D D D L D L
Kitakyushu L W D L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tochigi SC Kitakyushu 1 - 1 June 7, 2026
Tochigi SC Kitakyushu 0 - 1 October 5, 2025
Kitakyushu Tochigi SC 0 - 0 May 3, 2025
Kitakyushu Tochigi SC 1 - 2 November 28, 2021
Tochigi SC Kitakyushu 1 - 2 May 5, 2021
Kitakyushu Tochigi SC 1 - 0 November 15, 2020

Tochigi SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Kitakyushu 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Parceiro Nagano 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Vanraure Hachinohe 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Yokohama FC 1 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Blaublitz Akita 0 - 0 Draw
May 6, 26 Away Vegalta Sendai 2 - 1 Loss

Kitakyushu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Away Yokohama FC 3 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 2 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Tochigi SC 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Kamatamare Sanuki 3 - 1 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Kagoshima United 1 - 5 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Biwako Shiga 1 - 0 Loss

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Kitakyushu None None None None None None None None
None Tochigi SC None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Tochigi SC to win
This prediction indicates that Tochigi SC has a 46.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.33 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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