Tochigi SC vs Matsumoto Yamaga Saturday 26th September 2026 11:00 AM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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J3 League
Tochigi SC logo Tochigi SC
Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Matsumoto Yamaga logo Matsumoto Yamaga

Match Analysis

Tochigi SC Matsumoto Yamaga
Tochigi SC W L L D W D
Matsumoto Yamaga D D D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Matsumoto Yamaga Tochigi SC 1 - 1 September 28, 2025
Tochigi SC Matsumoto Yamaga 3 - 1 June 28, 2025
Matsumoto Yamaga Tochigi SC 0 - 1 October 10, 2021
Tochigi SC Matsumoto Yamaga 3 - 0 May 23, 2021
Matsumoto Yamaga Tochigi SC 0 - 0 November 4, 2020
Tochigi SC Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 1 September 13, 2020

Tochigi SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Kochi United 2 - 0 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away FC Gifu 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Away Kawasaki Frontale 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Kitakyushu 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Home Urayasu 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 0 Draw

Matsumoto Yamaga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Osaka 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 30, 26 Away Kitakyushu 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Ehime FC 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Home Biwako Shiga 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Kochi United 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Ventforet Kofu 3 - 0 Win

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Tochigi SC 5 2 2 1 8 8 0 8
15 Matsumoto Yamaga 5 0 4 1 5 6 -1 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Tochigi SC to win
This prediction indicates that Tochigi SC has a 45.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.03 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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