Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Sunday 16th August 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Toronto FC New England Revolution

Toronto FC D L D D L L

New England Revolution W D L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
New England Revolution	Toronto FC	0 - 0	July 22, 2026
New England Revolution	Toronto FC	1 - 1	September 13, 2025
Toronto FC	New England Revolution	0 - 2	May 3, 2025
Toronto FC	New England Revolution	1 - 0	April 20, 2024
New England Revolution	Toronto FC	0 - 1	March 3, 2024
New England Revolution	Toronto FC	2 - 1	June 24, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	New York City FC	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	DC United	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Away	New England Revolution	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 16, 26	Away	CF Montreal	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Chicago Fire	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Charlotte	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Atlanta United FC	4 - 1	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	Toronto FC	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Charlotte	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Minnesota United FC	2 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Home	Nashville SC	0 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Philadelphia Union	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	New England Revolution	16	9	2	5	26	19	+7	29
26	Toronto FC	17	3	7	7	23	31	-8	16

This prediction indicates that Toronto FC has a 38.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.47 %

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