First League
Match Analysis
Torpedo Moskva
Spartak Kostroma
Torpedo Moskva
L
D
W
W
W
W
Spartak Kostroma
D
D
W
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Kostroma | Torpedo Moskva | 0 - 1 | November 30, 2025 |
| Torpedo Moskva | Spartak Kostroma | 0 - 1 | August 11, 2025 |
Torpedo Moskva Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Arsenal Tula | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Volga Ulyanovsk | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | Ural | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | PFC Sochi | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Dynamo | 0 - 2 | Win |
Spartak Kostroma Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Enisey | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Tekstilshchik | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | PFC Sochi | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | KAMAZ | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Lokomotiv | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 2, 26 | Away | Spartak Moscow | 1 - 0 | Loss |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spartak Kostroma | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 | Torpedo Moskva | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Torpedo Moskva to win
This prediction indicates that Torpedo Moskva has a 46.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.22 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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