TPV vs KPV-j Saturday 10th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Ykkönen

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TPV View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago

4 – 0

Full Time

KPV-j View team ›

Match Analysis

TPV KPV-j

TPV L L W L W D

KPV-j L W L L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

TPV holds a modest quality edge over KPV-j and comes in with moderate recent form, while KPV-j has struggled recently, especially defensively. The model predicts a home win with a 59% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a strong likelihood of both teams scoring (67%) and for the match to feature more than one goal (70%), aligning with the market’s strong tilt toward an Over 1.5-goals outcome.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
KPV-j	TPV	1 - 3	Ykkönen	July 11, 2026
TPV	KPV-j	0 - 0	Ykkönen	April 11, 2026

TPV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Sep 26, 26	Home	FC jazz	Ykkönen	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 20, 26	Away	Inter Turku II	Ykkönen	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Home	KuPS Akatemia	Ykkönen	4 - 2	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	PKKU	Ykkönen	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Inter Turku II	Ykkönen	0 - 1	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Tampere United	Ykkönen	1 - 1	Draw

KPV-j Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Sep 26, 26	Away	VJS	Ykkönen	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 18, 26	Home	KuPS Akatemia	Ykkönen	3 - 2	Win
Sep 11, 26	Away	FC jazz	Ykkönen	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	JJK	Ykkönen	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Home	KuPS Akatemia	Ykkönen	2 - 4	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Away	Inter Turku II	Ykkönen	2 - 3	Win

Ykkönen Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	TPV	25	7	6	12	35	48	-13	27
11	KPV-j	25	5	3	17	27	75	-48	18

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampere United	26	16	5	5	+33	53
2	Rops	26	13	8	5	+20	47
3	SalPa	26	13	6	7	+11	45
4	VJS	26	11	10	5	+13	43
5	OLS	26	11	8	7	+12	41
6	FC jazz	26	11	6	9	+1	39
7	PKKU	26	10	8	8	+4	38
8	JJK	26	8	7	11	-3	31
9	TPV	26	8	6	12	-9	30
10	Inter Turku II	26	8	5	13	-9	29
11	KPV-j	26	5	3	18	-52	18
12	KuPS Akatemia	26	3	6	17	-21	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.01% likelihood that both TPV and KPV-j will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

TPV to win

This prediction indicates that TPV has a 59.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.17 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 74.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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Match Analysis

Why this prediction? AI insight

Head to Head History

TPV Form (Last 6 Matches)

KPV-j Form (Last 6 Matches)

Ykkönen Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

TPV to win

Over 2.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

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