Trans Narva vs Vaprus Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Trans Narva Vaprus

Trans Narva L D L L W L

Vaprus W L D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Vaprus	Trans Narva	2 - 0	May 9, 2026
Trans Narva	Vaprus	2 - 1	March 21, 2026
Vaprus	Trans Narva	0 - 2	February 15, 2026
Trans Narva	Vaprus	1 - 1	October 18, 2025
Vaprus	Trans Narva	0 - 0	July 12, 2025
Trans Narva	Vaprus	4 - 2	May 11, 2025

Trans Narva Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	Tammeka	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Away	Kuressaare	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Nõmme United	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Laagri	3 - 0	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	Paide	1 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	0 - 3	Loss

Vaprus Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Home	Kuressaare	1 - 0	Win
Jun 16, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Away	Tammeka	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Kalju Nomme	3 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	FC Levadia Tallinn	1 - 6	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Laagri	1 - 2	Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Vaprus	17	9	2	6	27	25	+2	29
10	Trans Narva	17	3	1	13	11	40	-29	10

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.2% likelihood that both Trans Narva and Vaprus will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Vaprus to win

This prediction indicates that Vaprus has a 47.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.46 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed