Treaty United vs Finn Harps Friday 25th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

First Division

Sept. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Treaty United Finn Harps

Treaty United L L D L W L

Finn Harps L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Finn Harps	Treaty United	0 - 1	July 10, 2026
Treaty United	Finn Harps	3 - 0	May 15, 2026
Finn Harps	Treaty United	2 - 2	March 13, 2026
Finn Harps	Treaty United	1 - 0	August 29, 2025
Treaty United	Finn Harps	0 - 1	June 27, 2025
Finn Harps	Treaty United	0 - 2	May 2, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 4, 26	Home	Wexford	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	Kerry	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Home	Cork City	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 7, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Away	UCD	1 - 2	Win
Jul 31, 26	Home	Longford Town	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 4, 26	Home	Athlone Town	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	UCD	5 - 4	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Home	Cobh Ramblers	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Away	Bray Wanderers	5 - 0	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Away	Longford Town	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	Cork City	0 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Treaty United	30	7	9	14	29	45	-16	30
10	Finn Harps	30	5	7	18	26	62	-36	22

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.94% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Treaty United has a 55.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.10 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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