First Division
Match Analysis
Treaty United
UCD
Treaty United
W
L
L
D
L
W
UCD
D
D
W
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCD | Treaty United | 1 - 2 | August 3, 2026 |
| Treaty United | UCD | 0 - 3 | April 24, 2026 |
| UCD | Treaty United | 2 - 0 | February 27, 2026 |
| Treaty United | UCD | 1 - 0 | September 5, 2025 |
| UCD | Treaty United | 1 - 1 | July 4, 2025 |
| Treaty United | UCD | 4 - 0 | May 16, 2025 |
Treaty United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Longford Town | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Wexford | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Kerry | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Cork City | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Cobh Ramblers | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | UCD | 1 - 2 | Win |
UCD Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Athlone Town | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Cobh Ramblers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Finn Harps | 5 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Kerry | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Wexford | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Treaty United | 1 - 2 | Loss |
First Division Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UCD | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 55 | 40 | +15 | 49 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
Predictions
Treaty United or UCD to win
This prediction indicates that UCD has a 40.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.26 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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