Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Tristan Suarez
Quilmes
Tristan Suarez
D
D
W
L
W
W
Quilmes
W
L
L
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quilmes | Tristan Suarez | 0 - 1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Quilmes | Tristan Suarez | 0 - 1 | October 4, 2025 |
| Tristan Suarez | Quilmes | 0 - 0 | May 31, 2025 |
| Quilmes | Tristan Suarez | 0 - 1 | September 1, 2024 |
| Tristan Suarez | Quilmes | 1 - 3 | April 14, 2024 |
| Quilmes | Tristan Suarez | 5 - 1 | September 30, 2023 |
Tristan Suarez Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | San Martin S.J. | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | San Martin Tucuman | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Atletico DE Rafaela | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Agropecuario | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Almirante Brown | 3 - 1 | Win |
Quilmes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | San Martin S.J. | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 7, 26 | Away | Nueva Chicago | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Temperley | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Deportivo Maipu | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | San Telmo | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Almagro | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 31 | 15 | +16 | 52 |
| 21 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 24 | +4 | 35 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Tristan Suarez to win
This prediction indicates that Tristan Suarez has a 50.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.43 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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