Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
Turku PS
Inter Turku
Turku PS
W
D
W
L
L
W
Inter Turku
D
W
D
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Turku PS has had the upper hand in matches between these two teams. However, the model predicts an away win with a 53% probability, reflecting Inter Turku's clear quality gap and recent attacking strength, despite the rest advantage held by Turku PS. The market odds also favor Inter Turku, though they suggest slightly less confidence than the model's prediction. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score and that there will be more than one or two goals in the game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Turku | Turku PS | 2 - 1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Inter Turku | Turku PS | 3 - 0 | October 22, 2020 |
| Turku PS | Inter Turku | 1 - 0 | August 22, 2020 |
| Turku PS | Inter Turku | 1 - 0 | September 17, 2018 |
| Turku PS | Inter Turku | 1 - 1 | June 20, 2018 |
| Inter Turku | Turku PS | 1 - 2 | April 21, 2018 |
Turku PS Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | VPS | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | KuPS | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Mariehamn | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | HJK helsinki | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Ilves | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | AC Oulu | 3 - 0 | Win |
Inter Turku Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | FC Copenhagen | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | AC Oulu | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | FC Vaduz | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Lahti | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | FC Vaduz | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | VPS | 0 - 1 | Win |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Turku | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 16 | +12 | 38 |
| 8 | Turku PS | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 22 | +5 | 29 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.85% likelihood that both Turku PS and Inter Turku will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Inter Turku to win
This prediction indicates that Inter Turku has a 53.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.78 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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