Primera División logo

Primera División
UCV Moquegua logo UCV Moquegua
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Alianza Atletico logo Alianza Atletico

Match Analysis

UCV Moquegua Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua L D D D L D
Alianza Atletico W L W L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Alianza Atletico UCV Moquegua 3 - 0 March 15, 2026

UCV Moquegua Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Deportivo Garcilaso 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home FBC Melgar 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away UTC 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Comerciantes Unidos 2 - 2 Draw
May 29, 26 Away Atletico Grau 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Universitario 0 - 0 Draw

Alianza Atletico Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 6, 26 Home Cienciano 1 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Alianza Lima 3 - 1 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Home Cultural Santa Rosa 3 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Cusco 4 - 1 Loss
May 31, 26 Away FBC Melgar 3 - 1 Loss
May 29, 26 Away Tigre 2 - 0 Loss

Primera División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Alianza Atletico 21 7 6 8 26 26 0 27
15 UCV Moquegua 21 5 6 10 19 28 -9 21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Alianza Atletico to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Alianza Atletico has a 36.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.12 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Primera División

ADT vs Alianza Atletico 16 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Cultural Santa Rosa vs FBC Melgar 18 hours from now · 11:30 p.m. ›