Umeå FC vs Assyriska FF Sunday 18th October 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Ettan - Norra

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Umeå FC View team ›

Oct. 18, 2026 12 hours ago VS

Assyriska FF View team ›

Match Analysis

Umeå FC Assyriska FF

Umeå FC W W L W W L

Assyriska FF W L L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features a modest quality edge in favor of Assyriska FF, but Umeå FC are in strong recent form and have a history of dominating this fixture with many goals scored. The model predicts a home win with a 45% probability, which aligns with Umeå FC's recent meetings dominance despite the quality gap. Additionally, the model sees a 57% chance that both teams will score and a 59% chance that there will be more than 1.5 goals, suggesting an open, goal-filled encounter likely, in line with past meetings.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Assyriska FF	Umeå FC	1 - 5	Ettan - Norra	May 14, 2026
Umeå FC	Assyriska FF	3 - 1	Ettan - Norra	August 4, 2024
Assyriska FF	Umeå FC	1 - 2	Ettan - Norra	June 30, 2024
Assyriska FF	Umeå FC	2 - 1	Ettan - Norra	November 14, 2021
Umeå FC	Assyriska FF	2 - 1	Ettan - Norra	May 23, 2021
Umeå FC	Assyriska FF	3 - 1	Ettan - Norra	October 14, 2018

Umeå FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Away	Järfälla	Ettan - Norra	1 - 2	Win
Oct 4, 26	Home	Hammarby Talang	Ettan - Norra	2 - 1	Win
Sep 27, 26	Home	FBK Karlstad	Ettan - Norra	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 20, 26	Away	Stocksund	Ettan - Norra	0 - 3	Win
Sep 16, 26	Away	Piteå	Ettan - Norra	0 - 2	Win
Sep 13, 26	Home	Stockholm Internazionale	Ettan - Norra	0 - 4	Loss

Assyriska FF Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Home	FBK Karlstad	Ettan - Norra	1 - 0	Win
Oct 3, 26	Away	Stockholm Internazionale	Ettan - Norra	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 27, 26	Home	Piteå	Ettan - Norra	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 21, 26	Away	Vasalund	Ettan - Norra	1 - 5	Win
Sep 17, 26	Home	AFC Eskilstuna	Ettan - Norra	2 - 5	Loss
Sep 10, 26	Away	Enköping	Ettan - Norra	2 - 1	Loss

Ettan - Norra Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Assyriska FF	26	10	5	11	44	45	-1	35
9	Umeå FC	26	10	5	11	36	42	-6	35

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stockholm Internazionale	27	19	4	4	+42	61
2	Arlanda	27	14	6	7	+13	48
3	Enköping	27	15	3	9	+1	48
4	AFC Eskilstuna	26	14	5	7	+11	47
5	FBK Karlstad	27	13	7	7	+7	46
6	Hammarby Talang	26	13	6	7	+25	45
7	IF Karlstad	26	12	8	6	+15	44
8	Assyriska FF	26	10	5	11	-1	35
9	Umeå FC	26	10	5	11	-6	35
10	Karlberg	27	9	6	12	-10	33
11	gefle IF	27	9	5	13	-14	32
12	Vasalund	26	7	7	12	-16	28
13	Sollentuna	26	6	9	11	-9	27
14	Piteå	26	5	8	13	-16	23
15	Järfälla	27	6	4	17	-21	22
16	Stocksund	27	3	6	18	-21	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.49% likelihood that both Umeå FC and Assyriska FF will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Umeå FC to win

This prediction indicates that Umeå FC has a 44.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.64 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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