Ettan - Norra
Match Analysis
Umeå FC
Vasalund
Umeå FC
L
L
L
W
L
L
Vasalund
W
D
L
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasalund | Umeå FC | 3 - 1 | April 19, 2026 |
| Vasalund | Umeå FC | 1 - 2 | August 18, 2024 |
| Umeå FC | Vasalund | 1 - 1 | May 25, 2024 |
| Umeå FC | Vasalund | 0 - 1 | September 24, 2023 |
| Vasalund | Umeå FC | 1 - 2 | June 11, 2023 |
| Vasalund | Umeå FC | 2 - 1 | September 11, 2022 |
Umeå FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | gefle IF | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | AFC Eskilstuna | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | AFC Eskilstuna | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Täfteå | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Järfälla | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | Enköping | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Vasalund Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Stockholm Internazionale | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Sollentuna | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Assyriska FF | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Karlberg | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Enköping | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 8, 26 | Away | Stockholm Internazionale | 4 - 1 | Loss |
Ettan - Norra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vasalund | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Umeå FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 16 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.72% likelihood that both Umeå FC and Vasalund will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Vasalund to win
This prediction indicates that Vasalund has a 43.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.22 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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