Taça de Portugal
Match Analysis
União Santarém
Merelinense
União Santarém
L
L
D
L
D
D
Merelinense
W
W
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
União Santarém Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Caldas | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | CF Os Belenenses | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Oliveirense | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | SC Covilha | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Academica | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Varzim | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Merelinense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Atlético Arcos | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 16, 23 | Home | Tirsense | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 8, 23 | Away | Vilar de Perdizes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 2, 23 | Home | Monção | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Mar 19, 23 | Home | Pedras Salgadas | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Mar 12, 23 | Away | Amarante | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.93% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.União Santarém to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that União Santarém has a 37.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.52 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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