Friendlies
Match Analysis
Uruguay U20
Paraguay U20
Paraguay U20
L
L
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Uruguay U20 and Paraguay U20 have been in poor recent form, showing that neither side has been performing well lately. Paraguay U20, in particular, have had issues with their defense recently. Given that the teams are closely matched in overall quality, the model predicts a home win with a 44% probability. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score and that the match will have fewer than 2.5 goals overall.
Paraguay U20 Form (Last 5 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 26 | Away | Brazil U20 | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Mar 28, 26 | Away | Brazil U20 | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 21, 25 | Home | Japan U20 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 17, 25 | Home | Colombia U20 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 14, 25 | Home | Saudi Arabia U20 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
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