Primera División logo

Primera División
UTC logo UTC
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Universitario logo Universitario

Match Analysis

UTC Universitario
UTC D L D L D D
Universitario D L W W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Universitario UTC 2 - 0 March 15, 2026
UTC Universitario 1 - 2 September 21, 2025
Universitario UTC 6 - 0 April 27, 2025
Universitario UTC 1 - 0 August 5, 2024
UTC Universitario 0 - 0 February 24, 2024
Universitario UTC 3 - 0 October 3, 2023

UTC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home ADT 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Cusco 4 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home UCV Moquegua 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away Atletico Grau 3 - 1 Loss
May 31, 26 Away Cultural Santa Rosa 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Sport Boys 0 - 0 Draw

Universitario Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Sporting Cristal 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Away Cienciano 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Cusco 2 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away ADT 1 - 2 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Millonarios 2 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Home Sport Huancayo 2 - 1 Win

Primera División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Universitario 21 10 6 5 29 20 +9 36
18 UTC 21 4 8 9 24 34 -10 20

Predictions

Universitario to win
This prediction indicates that Universitario has a 56.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.17 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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Primera División

ADT vs Alianza Atletico 16 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Cultural Santa Rosa vs FBC Melgar 18 hours from now · 11:30 p.m. ›