Thai League 1
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Oct. 10, 2026
1 week, 1 day ago
4 – 2
Full Time
Match Analysis
Uthai Thani
Rasi Salai United
Uthai Thani
W
L
W
L
L
D
Rasi Salai United
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Uthai Thani with a 65% probability. This outlook is supported by the clear quality gap favoring Uthai Thani and their moderate recent form, contrasted with Rasi Salai United's poor recent form and defensive struggles. The market odds also imply a strong favor towards Uthai Thani, aligning closely with the model's confidence. Additionally, the model sees a 55% chance of over 1.5 goals and a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals, suggesting it expects a more open, higher-scoring game than the market odds for over 2.5 goals indicate.
Uthai Thani Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 26 | Away | Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 1 | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Pattani | Thai League 1 | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 | 1 - 4 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Prachuap | Thai League 1 | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 29, 26 | Home | Bangkok United | Thai League 1 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Rasi Salai United Form (Last 3 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Bangkok Glass | Thai League 1 | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Port FC | Thai League 1 | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Thai League 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Uthai Thani | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 14 | Rasi Salai United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
View full table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prachuap | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | Uthai Thani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Buriram United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bangkok United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Port FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Sukhothai FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Bangkok Glass | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Chiangrai United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Pattani | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lamphun Warrior | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rasi Salai United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Uthai Thani to win
This prediction indicates that Uthai Thani has a 64.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.48 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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