Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch Saturday 17th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Uxbridge logo Uxbridge View team ›
Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 7 hours ago
0 – 4
Full Time
AFC Hornchurch logo AFC Hornchurch View team ›

New signing: Alfie Massey joined on loan AFC Hornchurch from Millwall on 24 Sep. All transfers

Match Analysis

Uxbridge AFC Hornchurch
Uxbridge W W D W L W
AFC Hornchurch W L W L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model sees AFC Hornchurch as the stronger side overall, but Uxbridge’s recent form, plus their extra rest time, give them a fighting chance at home. Despite the quality gap favoring the away team, the model predicts a 39% chance of a Uxbridge home win, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply for the home team. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than one goal, aligning closely with the market view on these outcomes.

Uxbridge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Home Hungerford Town FA Cup 3 - 1 Win
Sep 22, 26 Away Farnborough FA Cup 0 - 2 Win
Sep 19, 26 Home Farnborough FA Cup 2 - 2 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Home Haywards Heath Town FA Cup 3 - 0 Win
Aug 30, 25 Home Welling United FA Cup 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 22, 25 Home Hendon Friendlies Clubs 2 - 0 Win

AFC Hornchurch Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Eastleigh National League 2 - 0 Win
Oct 3, 26 Away Harrogate Town National League 3 - 0 Loss
Sep 29, 26 Home Aldershot Town National League 2 - 1 Win
Sep 26, 26 Away Altrincham National League 3 - 0 Loss
Sep 19, 26 Home Scunthorpe National League 1 - 0 Win
Sep 15, 26 Away Worthing National League 1 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.38% likelihood that both Uxbridge and AFC Hornchurch will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Uxbridge or AFC Hornchurch to win
This prediction indicates that Uxbridge has a 39.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.95 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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