Uxbridge vs Hungerford Town Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

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Uxbridge View team ›

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago

3 – 1

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Hungerford Town View team ›

Match Analysis

Uxbridge Hungerford Town

Uxbridge W D W L W L

Hungerford Town W W L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Uxbridge with a 46% probability. The model sees the teams as closely matched in overall quality but notes that both are in strong recent form, with Uxbridge showing particularly strong attacking form. Despite Hungerford Town having a rest advantage, the market odds (Home 1.73) suggest a slightly higher likelihood of a home win than the model's view, which is less confident. The model also predicts that both teams are likely to score (52% probability) and that the game will have under 1.5 goals (49% probability for over), aligning somewhat with the market odds which favor an under outcome for this market as well.

Uxbridge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Sep 22, 26	Away	Farnborough	FA Cup	0 - 2	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Farnborough	FA Cup	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Haywards Heath Town	FA Cup	3 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 25	Home	Welling United	FA Cup	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 22, 25	Home	Hendon	Friendlies Clubs	2 - 0	Win
Aug 20, 24	Home	Ashford Town (Middlesex)	FA Cup	1 - 2	Loss

Hungerford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Slimbridge	FA Cup	1 - 3	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Wells City	FA Cup	0 - 4	Win
Sep 27, 25	Away	Whitstable Town	FA Cup	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 13, 25	Home	Swindon Supermarine	FA Cup	3 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 25	Home	AFC Stoneham	FA Cup	3 - 0	Win
Sep 17, 24	Home	Winchester City	FA Cup	0 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Uxbridge to win

This prediction indicates that Uxbridge has a 45.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.64 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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