Uzbekistan U18 vs Romania U18 Monday 05th October 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Friendlies

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Uzbekistan U18 View team ›

Oct. 5, 2026 1 week, 6 days ago

0 – 1

Full Time

Romania U18 View team ›

Match Analysis

Uzbekistan U18 Romania U18

Uzbekistan U18 L L W L W D

Romania U18 D W W L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Uzbekistan U18 with a 41% probability. Despite Romania U18 having a modest quality edge, both teams show moderate recent form and similar rest, which balances the matchup. The model also sees a 47% chance that both teams will not score, and a 40% chance that the game will stay under 2.5 goals, indicating a relatively low-scoring expectation. Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model's view stands on its own assessment of the qualitative factors provided.

Uzbekistan U18 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 2, 26	Away	Turkey U18	Friendlies	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 29, 26	Away	Portugal U18	Friendlies	2 - 0	Loss
Jan 14, 26	Away	Turkey U19	Friendlies	0 - 2	Win
Jan 11, 26	Away	Turkey U19	Friendlies	3 - 2	Loss
Oct 12, 25	Home	Azerbaijan U18	Friendlies	3 - 1	Win
Oct 9, 25	Home	Azerbaijan U18	Friendlies	0 - 0	Draw

Romania U18 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 2, 26	Away	Portugal U18	Friendlies	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 29, 26	Home	Turkey U18	Friendlies	2 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Czech Republic U18	Friendlies	0 - 1	Win
Jun 3, 26	Away	Czech Republic U18	Friendlies	3 - 0	Loss
Oct 14, 25	Home	Spain U18	Friendlies	2 - 3	Loss
Oct 11, 25	Away	Portugal U18	Friendlies	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Uzbekistan U18 to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Uzbekistan U18 has a 41.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.89 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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